pantau terus fut DJ, pas aug koreksi naik turunnya ihsg dlm 1 hr sgt dipengaruhi oleh fut
other factors,mkt reg, yen,Rp,oil
will there be a black monday on DJ? scarryyy
Halim Mintareja <hmin918(*)gmail.com> wrote:
Yup...senin pasti merah...
yang jadi masalah candle nya....
short / long... green or black...doji ?? hammer ?? full body ??
bikin pusing tuh...
walau cash lumayan banyak...kalau ngak bisa dipakai buat coan kan sayang :D
On 10/20/07, Karno <karno.edy(*)gmail.com> wrote: Senin udah pasti merah.
Yg ngga pasti :
Seberapa dalam turunnya IHSG
Apakah IHSG akan turun sementara atau berkelanjutan,
Apakah hari Senin DJ rebound (misalnya harga minyak turun katakan ke 87/86), setelah paginya kita semua panic selling kita short di jsx
Atau DJ akan bearish terus, crash (mana bisa tahu). Sementara ini kelihatannya ada invisible hand yang nahan DJ, mereka paling alergi DJ turun banyak, ngga kaya index kita yang kaya roller coaster.
Apakah reaksi Bozz & para bandar, karena index di posisi tinggi kaya begini. (Selamet kata si Bozz, udah sempet short 2 hari mengamankan posisi)
The Fed motong bunga lagi, resume bull. Harga saham makin mahal.
Bear is coming slow but sure.....
etc
Friend ini Mr Bernanke speech " kutipan dari wallstreet journal " Kira Mr Bernanke akan action apa ya ...., dia kan ada jawdwal meeting tuh tgl 31 oktober dan dalam waktu dekat ada pertemuan G7,,,eh kalau ndak salah OPEC juga udah keluarkan statement tentang kenaikan harga minyak sekarang ini... boleh nih kita diskusikan kan banyak nih temanteman dari berbagai latar profesi dan basis keilmuan...., mudah2 an kita nambah ilmu... yang ujungnya kita dapat duit. salam....
david
Bernanke Says Strong Actions
Can Prevent 'Costly' Scenarios
By BRIAN BLACKSTONE
October 19, 2007 5:28 p.m.
WASHINGTON -- Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said Friday that strong central-bank action may be warranted at times to prevent worstcase economic scenarios from occurring.
"Indeed, intuition suggests that stronger action by the central bank
may be warranted to prevent particularly costly outcomes," Mr.
Bernanke said in prepared remarks to a St. Louis Fed conference.
(Read the full speech.)
Mr. Bernanke referred in his remarks to "robust-control methods" developed by some economists that "are aimed at minimizing the consequences of worst-case scenarios, including those with only a low probability of being realized."
"The concern about worst-case scenarios emphasized by the robustcontrol
approach may likewise lead to amplification rather than
attenuation in the response of the optimal policy to shocks," Mr.
Bernanke said.
Mr. Bernanke's remarks shed more light on the role of risk management in the Fed's decision last month to lower the target federal-funds rate by a half percentage point, a more aggressive move than most economists on Wall Street had expected.
In a speech Monday, Mr. Bernanke said, "risk-management considerations also played a role in the decision, given the possibility that the housing correction and tighter credit could presage a broader weakening in economic conditions that would be difficult to arrest." That justified "doing more sooner" with respect to policy, he said Monday.
Financial markets this week have raised the odds of another quarterpoint rate cut at the end of this month, as housing and joblessclaims data suggest the economy may be weakening.
In his remarks Friday, Mr. Bernanke cautioned that assessing the economy's true state "remains a formidable challenge."
Uncertainty about the economy "provides a reason for the central bank to strive for predictability and transparency, avoid overreacting to current economic information, and recognize the challenges of making real-time assessments of the sustainable level of real economic activity and employment," Mr. Bernanke said.
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